Highlight: ECMWF precipitation impacts caused by Super El Nino for DEC/JAN/FEB 2026-27. Executive summary: ECMWF issued new ...

Highlight: Summer 2026 is hottest on record. Fig. 1: NOAA state rankings for meteorological summer (JUN/JUL/AUG) 2026 temperature, which nationally, is the warmest summer during the 1895-2026 period ...

Discussion: ECM maintains the subtropical ridge most amplified across Southeast Australia sustaining a hot and dry regime for ...

Discussion: While East/Southeast Brazil are wet, the Argentina weather pattern is generally normally wet or drier than normal with near to slightly below normal temperature.

Highlight: The likely abrupt end to El Nino 2026-27 next northern hemisphere spring and possible La Nina to follow. Fig. 1: ECMWF Relative Nino34 SSTA index forecast through JUL/AUG 2027. Fig. 2: NCEP ...

NOAA announces presence of El Nino conditions. Possible record strength oceanic El Nino in 2026 but ENSO climate may be less intense. Executive summary: Traditional measurements of ENSO phase ...

Headline: Moderate-to-strong +IOD forecast to emerge with similarly intense El Nino mid-to-late 2026. Executive summary: Although remaining within the ENSO prediction barrier (EPB) strongest during ...

Using upper ocean heat, Nino34 SSTA, and southern oscillation index constructed analog for 2026-28 ENSO forecast…Big El Nino in 2026 followed by returning La Nina in 2027. Executive summary: Climate ...

Executive summary: The influence of the Pacific decadal oscillation on Southwest Canada/Northwest U.S. climate has changed due to the warming of the North Pacific Ocean. Cool phase PDO events are now ...

Highlight: 13 hurricanes forecast in 2026! Above normal impacts to Mexico, Southwest U.S., Southern California, Western Gulf of Mexico, and Hawaii. Executive summary: The 2026 East Pacific basin ...

Table 1: North Atlantic basin tropical cyclone activity after the first hurricane 2016-24. Fig. 1: The tropical North Atlantic (TNA) index and Nino34 SSTA ENSO phase for the 2016-24 active period. Fig ...

Fig. 1: The ECMWF/ERA5 wind gust anomaly categories across the U.S. during March 2025 (from the Washington Post). Discussion: March 2025 was unusually windy with much of the Central and Interior East ...