Sparse public polling recently, especially in less-competitive races, might lead to some surprises on Election Day.

For decades, Republicans have built their congressional strength on support from rural voters, racking up huge margins in some of the most sparsely populated areas of the country. That advantage isn’t ...

We will provide data for use on MS NOW shows and websites, and build custom polling and election interactives for the midterms ...

Multiple states are voting on measures affecting elections and voting in their states, some with the potential to dramatically alter how their residents pick their elected representatives. In Missouri ...

In the last month, we’ve seen an odd thing happen a couple of times: Candidates for federal office have been conducting surveys of their races independently, without the involvement of a professional ...

Throughout the 2026 primaries, progressive candidates have made headlines across the country, with little-known challengers toppling 30-year incumbents, deep-pocketed House members, and powerful ...

Today, FiftyPlusOne released our new forecasting model for the U.S. House and Senate midterm elections. As of 6:00 AM Eastern on Monday, August 3, 2026, the model gives Democrats an 85% chance of ...

FiftyPlusOne is not the polls police. However, we do, from time to time, make the tough decision to exclude a pollster from our data collection, aggregation, and forecasting when we lose faith in the ...

The New York Times is, once again, worried about the polls. In a piece last week, Reid Epstein brought up a number of concerns facing the polling industry, full of hand-wringing about whether or not ...

If it feels like every poll you’ve seen this year came from a Democratic campaign and showed a toss-up, you’re not imagining things. Democratic-aligned pollsters account for 56 percent of House polls ...