Traders on the Kalshi prediction market place the odds of a US recession in 2025 at 61%, following the sweeping tariff order signed by President Donald Trump on April 2. Kalshi uses the standard ...

Bettors on prediction-market startup Kalshi are assessing the chances of the U.S. economy entering a recession this year at ...

U.S. President Donald Trump's sweeping reciprocal tariffs have sent shockwaves through global financial markets on Thursday, while further souring U.S. growth estimates and sharply driving up the ...

A surge in bettors are predicting a recession in the U.S. this year, with odds rising to at least 62% on Monday as the Trump ...

Recession expectations for the US economy remain elevated despite Trump's efforts to ease tariffs, with a 56% chance of ...

Traders on Kalshi are placing a 61% probability on the US entering a recession in 2025, following Trump’s tariff order ...

On Polymarket, the odds of a recession have risen from below 30% around the time of Trump's inauguration to 56% as of earlier ...

The chances of a U.S. recession this year have fallen after President Trump's tariff halt, but remain elevated, according to prices on betting markets. Bettors on Kalshi, a prediction market, recently ...

One Kalshi bet sees recession odds at 60%. Trump's "liberation day" duties have roiled markets in the last two days. Fear has spiked that sweeping reciprocal tariffs could extinguish growth ...

Users on prediction markets such as Myriad Markets, Kalshi and Polymarket have ratcheted back the odds of a recession.

Traders on the Kalshi prediction market place the odds of a US recession in 2025 at 61%, following the sweeping tariff order signed by President Donald Trump on April 2. Kalshi uses the standard ...